Tuesday, September 14, 2010

Bernstein vs. Jessamy Poll




What Do You Think?

Who's going to win this thing?


Bernstein by 70%+
Bernstein by 60%+
Bernstein by 59% or less
Bernstein by less than 5%
Jessamy by 60%+
Jessamy by 59% or less
Jessamy by less than 5%
Jessamy by 70%+


8 comments:

Maurice Bradbury said...

sorry, added a 'less than 5%' category after a couple of you voted.

ppatin said...

I voted Jessamy by less than 5%. I want to be optimistic, but I still don't think Bernstein will make it.

buzoncrime said...

The extremely light turnout, I would have thought initially favor Bernstein. But I'm not so sure. Went to my polling place in downtown Hampden, hon, and there was literally no voters--in what, nominally one would think would be Bernstein territory. I think all the Jessamy folks, DST and AKA members, and followers of the ministers will be out in force this evening.

And there was a huge Jessamy sign up the street on Roland Avenue, across from the elderly high-rise. In Hampden! Who woluda thunk! (my cynical wife says that they want her to keep getting them off).

This much is certain: apparently a very small number of folks will be deciding Baltimore's future: a continuing high-crime city with a messed-up criminal justice system (everything's fine), or someone in a key position to try to make the messed-up system work better. We shall see.

buzoncrime said...

I have to agree with Pascal: I think Jessamy will win by a slight margin.
I think the support thrown her by Mfume, Cummings, and the Baptist ministers will be enough to push her base to get out there and vote.

I hope I'm wrong.

I get the sense that a lot of people have sort of become not interested anymore: it is what it is.

I just don't want to hear anymore rallies after the next murder that people gather around and begin chanting: "enough is enough". Or: "I'lm sick and tired of being sick and tired", etc. (Can't tell you how many of those I attended).
Folks, here's your chance to do something a bit different.

ppatin said...

I worry about what some of the broader consequences of a Bernstein loss will be. For starters it'll send a discouraging message to other top-tier, non-establishment candidates that ousting entrenched incumbents is too difficult. Bernstein is a smart, well-connected buy and if he can't beat Pat Jessamy that'll make it seem even more pointless for aspiring reformers to take on insiders.

I also have a hard time believing that there won't be some very bad consequences for Fred Bealfeld if Bernstein goes down to defeat. Who knows, maybe Jessamy and the Mayor secretly hate each other and Bealfeld will still get Rawlings-Blake's support, but I predict a purge if Jessamy is re-elected.

ppatin said...

George Della is a weasel.

This reminds me of how former mayor Clarence Royce ticketed up with Marla Daniels in precincts where support for Daniels was strong, but then appeared to endorse Eunetta Perkins in her strongest precincts :)

buzoncrime said...

I don't think it will be the end of teh world if Jessamy wins. I don't expect Bernstein to be the savior of the city, and many cases do get prosecuted by the current overworked staff of prosecutors.

The long-term consequences is, you are correct, a great deal of antipathy between Jessamy and Bealefeld and Baltimore's continued floundering in high crime, since the key players can't seem to get along, much less agree on a coherent strategy.

Justin Fenton tweeted (I think) a while back, that, come January, either Bealefeld will be gone or Jessamy will be gone. [And that's why I think the Commish should not have had that sign in his yard].

This whole criminal justice thing will likely be resurrected again next year when the mayoral election is held. SRB will keep Bealefeld (if he wants to stay) as long as his numbers are good. Though she may want to purge him, she would be foolish to do so, if the crime is still down.

John Galt said...

I am just astonished by the sitting (and I mean sitting) SA's comment that it's not all about prosecuting criminals - we do outreach and sing Kum-ba-yah, too. ?!!!

Ms. Jessamy - you're the prosecutor. It's what you do. If you don't want to do it, .... then run for City Council instead.

Or maybe we should create another office called

'Office of the Other Prosecutor - no, this time we really mean it'